Julius Caesar :: essays papers

Julius Caesar Julius Caesar was born on July 12/13, 100? BC, and died March 15, 44 BC.Julius Caesar was a celebrated Roman general and statesman, the vanquisher of Gaul (58-50 BC), victor in the Civil War of 49-46 BC, and dictator (46-44 BC), who was launching a series of political and social reforms, when he was assassinated by a group of nobles led by Brutus in the Senate House on the Ides of March, in an attempt to free Rome of the dictatorship. After Caesars death Marc Anthony waged a war with the manslayer of his mentor, ending with the suicide of Brutus. Caesar changed the course of the history of the Greco-Roman world decisively and irreversibly. The Greco-Roman society has been extinct for so long that most of the names of its long men mean little to the average, educated modern man. But Caesars name, like Alexanders, is still on peoples lips throughout the Christian and Islamic worlds. Even people who slam no niceg of Caesar as a historic personality are familiar with his family name as a title signifying a ruler who is in few sense uniquely supreme or paramount--the meaning of Kaiser in German, tsar in the Slavonic languages, and qaysar in the languages of the Islamic world.Caesars Rome was filled with large sooner plain stone buildings filled with ornate statues and busts. Peoples homes seemed to be quite large (although most homes that were portrayed were those of the wealthy), with large open courtyards. Rooms were without doors, but a thin cloth was draped across the bedrooms.The clothing of the day was limited to togas, some including designs and others were quite plain. Jewelry wasnt prevalent, although the men did wear a band of metal or so their wrists. All of the mens hair was styled almost identically, with a part in the back and combed forward on the top as well as on the sides.The Romans warfare was similar to the wars of early America, in that they had both infantry and Calvary. A group of men on horses, led scores o f men on foot. Weapons were limited to swords, knives, and bows. The armies were split up into groups of a certain number of men, which were led by an officer. When the modulate was given to attack, each of these officers would in turn, give the order to their group of men, thus putting the battle into play.

A Philosophic Challenge Essay -- Theory of Evolution, Darwin, DNA

Did you know the odds of proteins necessary to create a cosmic string of DNA lining up in order naturally are only once in 4x10022 years? (Werner 104). Thats highly improbable Darwin didnt anticipate that future discoveries would disprove the fundamental tenants of his surmise of evolution. Modern science is repeatedly uncovering evidence that Darwinian evolution cannot be the explanation for deportment on earth because it relies on an implausible claim of spontaneous generation, leaves gaps in the fossil record, and is contradicted by emerging scientific discoveries. Spontaneous generation refers to the theory that the premier life form evolved rapidly out of nothing, and all organisms evolved gradually from the original life form. Mounting evidence makes the argument for spontaneous generation untenable. No biologic phyla (a level of organism classification) have yet been discovered to support Darwins theory. Even more condemning is that Darwin understood taxonomy (the classif ication of living organisms), but he refused to acknowledge or account for the gaps in his theory (Wilker 24). For example, spontaneous generation, a necessary assumption in Darwins theory, cannot explain how proteins are formed. Evolutionists suggest that both proteins or DNA were involved in the freshman living organism. However, proteins cannot be formed naturally, yet are required for DNA (Werner 105). This raises the chicken and egg question, which came first? Evolutionists cannot explain this, providing no justification for how proteins and DNA could have been involved in spontaneous generation. Amino acids, the building blocks of proteins, would have had to form naturally to allow for the hatchway of spontaneous generation. Yet, an experiment conducte... ...naturalists for using the existence of vestigial organs as an argument for evolution, stating vestigial organs provide no evidence for evolutionary theory. (qtd. in Wells, Why Darwinism) More and more scientific eviden ce is overturning the biologically based arguments used to support Darwins theory. Darwins theory falls short of fulfilling explanations for the set out of life. Darwins suggestion that life is spontaneously generated is a leap of faith not supported by science. The fossil record is full of gaps that Darwins theory cannot explain, and new discoveries in biology undermine the basis the of evolutionary theory. While Darwins theory may have initially seemed plausible when it was first published, contemporary science has provided evidence that the foundations and hypotheses on which Darwins theory of evolution are based cannot possibly be true.

The Chemistry of Natural Waters Essay -- Science Papers

Defined in Chemtrek as The presence of the dissolved divalent cations Ca2+ and Mg2+. . . (which) gives natural wet chemical properties, hard water has al shipway been a curse to both animals and man 1 . It promotes scale, the buildup of magnesium and calcium to the point where a rock-like substance forms in household and industrial pipes, disrupts natural habitats and reproductive cycles of fresh water fish, and causes many health-related problems in humans 2 . To avoid much(prenominal) problems, it is important to understand ways that commercial businesses and homeowners can test for hard water. This experiment examines two possible methods of testing water hardness. They include AA spectroscopy, which measures a water samples absorption of Ca 2+ and Mg 2+ , and EDTA titration, which uses a titrations end-point to determine the concentration of Ca 2+ and Mg 2+ present in a water source 1 . It is also important to learn about water soften, a process that removes calcium and magnesium from water sources 3 . For this experiment, I explored water softening techniques such as divalent cation removal ion exchange and water softening with a commercial water-conditioning agent 4 . My group decided to test AA spectroscopy, EDTA titration, and water softening techniques on four natural water samples from Little Chickies brook in Mount Joy,PA Allegheny River in Warren, PA Stone Valley Lake in State College, PA and a pond on Orr Avenue in Apollo, PA because it is imperative to know about the quality of Pennsylvanias waterways. My hypothesis stated that the water from Little Chickies Creek would be the hardest because it is located by several limestone quarries, which deposit calcium and magnesium into creeks and streams 5 ... ... Prentice Hall, 2003. 5 McClintok , Michael. A Hard Look at fragile Water. The Washington Post 28 August 2003 H.02. 6 Threats to Western Pennsylvania Waterways. Creek Connections . 13 October 2003 . 7 Van der Leed en , Frits Troise , Fred L. Todd, David K. The Water Encyclopedia . 2nd ed . New York Lewis Publishers, 1990. 8 Krogman, Nick. alchemy 14- AA Spectroscopy Calibration Data Charts. 9 Anderson , Troy . Chemistry 14-Lab Notebook, Experiment 10. p. 54-59. 10 Angiulli , Alayna . Chemistry 14-Lab Notebook, Experiment 10. p. 41-45. 11 Toms, Jarrett. Chemistry 14-Lab Notebook, Experiment 10. p. 49-54. 12 Robb, Gordon A. and James D.F. Robinson . Acid Drainage from Mines. The Geographical Journal March 1995 47.

Essay --

Animal protection and conservation acts began to appear in the 1900s following the roughly extinction of the bison and the passenger pigeon. Ignorance regarding the idea of extinction combined with the popularity of hunting, severely hurt these species. Hunters and naturalists killed wildlife for game and study without much thought for the species survival. In addition the rapid industrialisation threatened the natural habitats of thousands of species. The first major piece of animal legislation was the Lacey Act of 1900 which prohibited interstate commerce of animals killed in violation of state frolic laws. Other laws of the era included the Migratory Bird Conservation Act of 1929 and the Bald Eagle Protection Act of 1940 (Klyza). In the 1960s legislation moved from prescript to preservation. The Endangered Species Preservation Act of 1966 was the first real attempt at preservation. When designating 78 animals to the 1996 list, Secretary of the Interior Mark Udall said that an informed public go forth act to help reduce the dangers threatening these rare animals (AP). The goal was to inform the public that certain species were in danger and to protect the species before major pervert could occur. Although there was legislation prior to 1973, the Endangered Species Act of 1973 was the most wide reaching and important pieces of environmental legislation that passed in the 1970s. Following a filament of environmental disasters, citizens became more aware and started to demand environmental legislation. From Rachel Carsons Silent Spring in 1962, to the inaugural Earth day in 1970 with about 20 million attendees, environmental issues started to receive massive exposure. This exposure helped consolidate a growing public awarene... ...roduct of the 1970s and the environmental movement, is not the best law realistic but it does do a fine job as the only real animal protection law. The ESAs goal of preserving species like others included in environmental legislation at the time, was unrealistic (Klyza). The ESA could never do as much as its creators would have liked, but to repeal the law would leave hundreds of species unprotected. The bucolic needs to protect the fragile ecosystems that it houses and the ESA has helped with that. The ESA is essential because it protects the ecosystems that once destroyed, cannot be rebuilt. The protection of ecosystems has truly become the ESAs largest and most important contribution. The ESA or any standardized legislation could not pass today with the intensely partisan Congress and thus it needs to stay as the only true protection for trades union American species.

Fundraising and State Support Essay -- Public Choice Theory, Education

The examination of the alliance of fundraising and state support change was found upon an understanding of universal choice theory, which is rooted in political economy and used to determine societal resource allocation preferences through the legislative ferment to attain the maximum social benefit (Herber, 1983). The theory has evolved over time with the core research of Buchanan and Tullock (1967) examining individual economic preferences demonstrated through the political system, establishing an surface for analyzing political decision-making. The focus of popular choice theory in the context of the proposed research questions is on decision-making bell in terms of offsetting fundraising increases to prepare consensus. This incorporates the direct cost involved in funding, or not funding, higher education, the opportunity costs of bargaining through the political process, and the trade-offs between competing public demands (Herber, 1983). Society could follow non-strategi c appearance in order to allow for collective decisions (Herber). Decision making costs become an outcome of the public choice bargaining in order to reach agreement public choice involves making decisions within a dynamic context of higher education as a public good, particularly when examining the relationship of fundraising and state support (Buchanan & Tullock, 1967).Constitutional EconomicsWithin public choice theory is the concept of constitutional economics that accounts for the rules pertaining to the legislative process that restricts the role of establishment and the scope of its decisions (Buchanan & Tullock, 1967). Buchanan and Tullock (1967) espoused the operational stage of rule-making that stem from the constitutional limitations. The budget pro... ...support the mission of the college.At the opposite end of the continuum is the unconstrained vision. The unconstrained vision believes that peoples nature and institutions can be improved (Sowell, 1987). The unconstra ined vision welcomes direct government intervention for the good of society (Sowell, 1987). Equating Sowells vision to public choice theory, there is a great deal of similarity between the unconstrained vision and how an individual categorizes higher education as a public good (Sowell, 1987 Ostrom, 1975). This research is intent in finding the relationship between the change in fundraising and the change in public funding of higher education. In an effort to determine how policymakers choose to fund higher education, acknowledging the policy makers vision of people and institutions will help understand how they may oppose to funding scenarios.

Fundraising and State Support Essay -- Public Choice Theory, Education

The examination of the relationship of fundraising and state musical accompaniment change was based upon an understanding of unexclusive choice theory, which is rooted in political economy and used to consider societal resource allocation preferences through the legislative process to attain the maximum social benefit (Herber, 1983). The theory has evolved over time with the core look into of Buchanan and Tullock (1967) examining individual economic preferences demonstrated through the political system, establishing an approach for analyzing political decision-making. The counselling of semipublic choice theory in the context of the proposed research questions is on decision-making cost in terms of offsetting fundraising increases to reach consensus. This incorporates the direct cost involved in funding, or not funding, higher education, the opportunity costs of bargaining through the political process, and the trade-offs between competing public demands (Herber, 1983). Societ y could follow non-strategic behavior in edict to allow for collective decisions (Herber). Decision making costs become an outcome of the public choice bargaining in order to reach agreement public choice involves making decisions within a dynamic context of higher education as a public good, particularly when examining the relationship of fundraising and state support (Buchanan & Tullock, 1967).Constitutional EconomicsWithin public choice theory is the concept of constitutional economics that accounts for the rules pertaining to the legislative process that restricts the role of government and the scope of its decisions (Buchanan & Tullock, 1967). Buchanan and Tullock (1967) espoused the available stage of rule-making that stem from the constitutional limitations. The budget pro... ...support the mission of the college.At the opposite end of the continuum is the unconstrained vision. The unconstrained vision believes that peoples nature and institutions grass be improved (Sowel l, 1987). The unconstrained vision welcomes direct government intervention for the good of society (Sowell, 1987). Equating Sowells vision to public choice theory, at that place is a great deal of similarity between the unconstrained vision and how an individual categorizes higher education as a public good (Sowell, 1987 Ostrom, 1975). This research is intent in finding the relationship between the change in fundraising and the change in public funding of higher education. In an effort to determine how policymakers choose to fund higher education, acknowledging the policy makers vision of people and institutions will help understand how they may respond to funding scenarios.

Drug Use Among College Students

Marijuana is the most frequently habituated illicit drug in the United States, with close to 32 percent of all Americans having tried it at least once in their lifetime (Marijuana Use among Students, 2008). The Harvard School of public Health College Alcohol Study, conducted in 1993, examined the drug and alcohol subroutine of 17,592 college students nation-wide (Marijuana Use among Students, 2008). The study found that marijuana use is higher among students who participate in other high-risk activities such as binge drinking, cigarette smoking, and having multiple sexual partners (Marijuana Use among Students, 2008).The purpose of this study is to examine drugs use among college students. Drug is define as a substance or medicine that is misused. Review of Literature In many societies, marijuana has historically been a valued crop (Hanson, Venturell, 1998). It is called hemp because the woody fibers of the stem yield a fiber can be made into cloth and rope (Hanson, Venturell, 199 8). The term cannabis comes from the Greek word for hemp(Hanson, Venturell, 1998). Cannabis is often used with other substances, oddly nicotine, alcohol, and cocaine (DSM IV,2000 ).Mild forms of depression, anxiety or irritability are seen in about one-third of individuals, who regularly use cannabis (DSM IV,2000). Starting in 2000, reports of marijuana use among college students started to level off, with the annual prevalence hovering between 30 percent and 35 percent for several years (Higher upbringing Center, 2008). Marijuana users also demonstrate an increase risk for other high-risk behaviors such as heavy drinking and cigarette smoking when compared with their peers who abstain from marijuana (Higher Education, 2008).Students who use marijuana frequently whitethorn function at a limited intellectual level at all times that is even when not under the influence of the drug bring to cut back grades and an increased risk of dropping out of college (Higher Education Center, 2 008). There has been research that examined the relationship among social norms, social outcome and expectancies, and marijuana users (Neighbors, Geisner, Lee, 2008).Students completed online judicial decision of their marijuana use, related consequences, perceived norms, and social expectancies related to marijuana use (Neighbors, Geisner, Lee, 2008). Results suggested that perceptions of friends marijuana use were most strongly associated with marijuana use (Neighbors, Geisner, Lee, 2008). Rates of use among colleges ranged from zero percent at the lowest use schools to 54 percent at the highest use schools (Bell, Wechsler, Johnston, 1996).Many individuals attend college to experience independence from parental supervision for the beginning time, and are particularly vulnerable to social pressures to engage in risky behavior such ad cocaine use (Williams, Pacula, Chaloupka, Wechsler, 2006). There are long consequences of frequent marijuana use which include and increased toleran ce for the drug, depression and anxiety, impaired immune defense, complications in pregnancy, and increased heart attack risk (Higher Education Center, 2008).Many marijuana users do not realize that, as with other illicit drugs, it can be addictive (Higher Education Center, 2008). While not everyone who uses marijuana becomes low-level upon it, thousands of people who enter dug treatment programs annually report marijuana as their primary drug of abuse (Higher Education Center, 2008). Hypotheses It is hypothesized the marijuana users seems to obtain lower grades or drop out of college.

Landscape in the Classic Western

The article Landscape in the Western Classic text Landscape in the Classic Hollywood Western by Stanley Solomon focuses around the central claim that landscape is definitive to the film genre of Western, defining twain plot and characterization. First, the malignity of the barren landscape against which the plot of Western movies revolves suggests that the characters in the movie either have to be rugged or likely to fall prey to much rugged ones. Scarcely populated rural places allow for the clear-cut distinction between an honest group of citizens with local sheriff as their leader and a pack of immoral criminals. Since the landscape is clear-cut and straightforward, so are the characters and their moral traits. The same is true for sharply delineated codes of behavior that have to be grasped by both criminals and good guys.The severe natural and human environments, in which the characters of the Western have to act, develop skills crucial to pick, including competence in the face of danger, courage, determination, and endurance (Solomon 1976). The threat in most cases comes not from nature that, for all its mercilessness, is fair and predictable in its threats, but from human villains. The struggle between moral and immoral characters is the cornerstone of the plot.A peculiar environment often tells a lot about the womens role. Most of female characters, exactly like men, should possess strength of character and survival skills that are looked up to by men. At the same time, women bring a humanizing effect to movies, supporting the value of human life.Western movies often call for insights into the bygone of the character, in contrast to urban movies where the emphasis is on the throbbing present of the city life. A Western character arrives at the scene a acquire man, shaped by his past experiences, that often involve some indelible tragedy. Understanding a characters past is essential, although information of it is often presented as a mere hint. Th e interrelationships of landscape, characterization, and the past form the central focus of the Western genre (Solomon 1976).BibliographySolomon, Stanley. Beyond Formula American Film Genres. 1976.

Diffusion Coefficient Apparatus Essay

General Start-up Procedure Prior to running an experiment, students are advised to perform the following inauguration procedure. Fill the urine with denudate (preferably filtered) water to approximately 20 mm from the top. Plug the main cable to the electrical hand over. Be sure that the voltage of the supply is correct to suite the equipment. Switch on the main power on the control panel. Adjust the set-point value on the temperature controller to 500C.WarningDo non set the temperature controller beyond 700C.Switch on the heater. Observe the water temperature heats up to 50 0C and remain constant.The equipment is now ready for experiment.Priming procedure for hairlike subway TubeBefore using the capillary tube in an experiment using acetone, students are advised to clean the inside of the tube. Prepare a wonky solution of detergent. Use the Hirschman pipette to fill the tube with the solution. Tapping the of side of the tube may be necessary if the solution is trapped and do es not flow down. identification number the tube upside-down and shake. Empty the tube. Repeat steps 2 to 3 with acetone. The tube is now ready for student experiment.General Shut-down Procedure After the boundary of an experiment, students are advised to shut down the equipment as follows Switch off the heater and air philia. Adjust the set-point value of the temperature controller to approximately 5 degree below the room temperature. Allow the water to cool down until it is safe to touch. Open the drain valve and empty the water tank. Detach the flexible tubing and clean the capillary tube for next use. (Refer to priming procedure) Switch off the main power. Unplug the main cable if the equipment will not be used for a long period.EXPERIMENTOBJECTIVETo determine gas diffusion coefficient of acetone using the established Winkelmanns method.Procedure1. Perform the start-up procedure.2. Partially fill the capillary tube with acetone to a depth of about 35 mm.3. Carefully insert t he capillary tube through the fitting on the top of the water bath cover. Do not over-tighten the fitting.4. Observe the initial level of acetone through the telescope. Record the level of acetone.5. Connect the flexible tubing from the air pump line to one end of the capillary tube. Switch on the air pump.6. After 30 minutes, switch off the air pump. Disconnect the flexible tubing and close the two capillary tubes ends with the cap provided. Observe and record the level of acetone.7. Repeat steps 4 to 6 at 30 minutes intervals. synopsis & DISCUSSIONPlot t/ (L-L0) against (L-L0).Determine gas diffusivity, D from the obtained slope, S. Compare the experimental value with the theoretical value that can be predicted from empirical equations (e.g. modified maxwells equation by Gilliland).

Outline and evaluate biological explanations of obesity Essay

Various explanations can be provided for the reasons of obesity, from biological explanations, to neurological and evolutionary theories. Even socio-economic reasons could give insight into wherefore some people have a exalteder likeliness of obesity Evolutionarily, the stinting gene hypothesis provides insight as to why many allow from obesity, as it suggests that our current genes are no longer suited to our new environment. Modern day society is filled with foods of a high calorific content, and our goose egg expenditure has decreased more and more with the technological advancements made. More television is watched and more computer games are played. This has been attributed to the increase in obesity, especially in children. Dietz and Gortmaker bring that an extra hours viewing of TV a day can increase obesity levels by 2%. Further support for the thrifty gene hypothesis has been found for ideal in the case of Pima Indians and other groups of different societies who live in harsher conditions (in comparison to Western society) and are more possible to develop obesity when exposed to a Western diet.The thrift gene hypothesis is reductionist however, as the gene pool has remained consistent over the uttermost 40 years, yet only now are levels of obesity rapidly increasing, which suggests that other factors, such as biological and behavioural reasons are more significant. An example of a biological approach would be transmissible reasons, which could provide an explanation for obesity, as some individuals may be genetically inclined with a family annals of having a predisposition for weigh gain, particularly in todays world which contains ample supplies of food. Our ancestors tended to eat as much as they could when possible, in set to create a reserve of energy which they could rely on, and to allow them to survive when no food was available. Our systems which control our satiety are not very lovesome to knowing when to stop, as they are program med to find food when we are hungry, so now, we continue to overeat, are unable to stop, be motility we are innately programmed to consume for survival. Many touch studies have been made, which all indicate that genetic factors play a large part, and suggest that obesity often runs in families.Bouchard overfed 12 pairs of male MZ twin and found three times more similarity of weight gain within pairs than between pairs, strongly indicating genetic factors.However this was a relatively humbled sample size, so in order for us to make a strong conclusion, the study should be replicated on a larger scale. However this would be ethically improper, as weight gain is associated with many physiological and sometimes psychological ailments, such as diabetes or depression therefore it would be unethical to expose a large number of participants to weight gain. This was supported by Stunkard who examined the BMI of 93 pairs of MZ twins reared apart and found that genetic factors accounted for 66-70% of variance in frame weight. However to select that we inherit our BMI disposition from our parents would be reductionist, as it doesnt account for individual differences, such as an overactive thyroid, which would cause weight gain. A UK study carried out research upon 4 year old twins, and found obesity heritability was 0.61in boys and 0.61 in girls, which further supports the idea that genes play a significant routine in our weight gain.However this study was not done cross-culturally, therefore lacks population validity and cannot be verbalize to everyone. Also, the study relied on self-reports made by the mother of the children, who may have been dishonest as a result of social desirability bias, This study presents the idea of passive gene-environment correlation, which provides biological and behavioural explanations (that our genetic factors interact with our environment). Both approaches are deterministic however. The biological approach represents hard determini sm, and has absolutely no room for free will, and there is evidence to support it. Frayling analysed 39,000 flannel peoples blood sample from the UK and Finland. While the extremely large sample size increases the internal validity of the study, using only white Finnish and British participants is ethnocentric, therefore the results cannot be generalised to others. In his study, 25% of participants were clinically telling (BMI over30), and he found that variations to the FTO gene were more common amongst obese participants.In fact, those with the altered gene were on average, 3 kgs heavier than those with the usual chromosome 16. Whilst this cannot be used to explain all cases of obesity, as there are many individuals without a mutated chromosome 16 who are still obese, but it does explain why some people struggle more than others to lose weight (due to their unchangeable genes). Possible neurochemical imbalances cause over feeding. Recent research suggests that body fat might be an active organ and may trigger hunger itself. This would mean that onceindividuals start gaining free weight, they then feel more hunger and become less sensitive to satiation signals. Most of the research was conducted upon rats, by making lesions to specific parts of their hypothalamus which we assume play a role in our eating behaviour. It was found by Hetherington and Ranson that rats with lesions to the ventromedial hypothalamus would overeat until they became obese. However rats are not humans, therefore the finding cannot be generalised from one to the other.Also, this study breaks various ethical boundaries, as the effects of the lesions were irreversible and would have resulted in the suffering, and eventual deaths of the rats. Fortunately this study did have real breeding practical applications, as Quaade successfully lesioned the Lateral Hypothalamus of obese patients to induce aphagia (and reduce their eating). Other neurological pathways also play a part in our eatin g behaviour, as found by cummings, who investigated the changes in blood ghrelin levels over time between meals. Ghrelin is a hormone released from the stomach when it is empty, and is detected by the lateral hypothalamus. Cummings used six participants (very small sample size, low population validity) and monitored their ghrelin levels (using blood samples) every 5 minutes after they had eaten their lunch.Participants were asked to assess their levels of hunger every 30 minutes, and it was shown that 5 out of the 6 participants used, showed that their ghrelin levels were closely correlated with degree of reported hunger. This was a lab study, with a high level of control, and easily replicable, so has high internal validity and reliability. However it is hard to determine whether the predicted levels of hunger stemmed from actual hunger, or social cues such as meal times and a persons learnt expectancy of when they should next eat. However this study has real life practical applica tions, as gastric bands can be used to encompass obesity, as they have been shown to reduce ghrelin secretion.

How Politics is Played Told by One Who Knows the Game Essay

Good politicians get to know a lot of politicians. Lyndon Johnson would make up four showers a day and brush his teeth everywhere and over again so he would be in the same room with a bunch of politicians and he could talk to them briefly and make groovy connections. Lyndon Johnson also hired a man who would later turn corrupt named Bobby Baker who answered phones for the flannel House cloak room (a cloak room is manage the break room for politicians.) With Bobby Baker, Johnson was able to know the inner workings of politics. Ronald Reagan also worked very problematic to have good relationships in politics although he talked just about Washington as if hed never visited the place.Lyndon Johnson used a specific mode to get to know eventful people called retail politic. In retail politics, a politician elevates over one person at a clip by learning about them specifically. Unlike LBJ and Reagan, Jimmy Carter lacked the charsima to win over people. Then Speaker of the House T ip ONeill asked for seats to the inauguration ceremony, Carter offered him seats in the back of the hall this incident hurt his documentation from the Speaker for many years.The author ends this chapter by explaining that he himself got to his position by networking with many important people. Good politicians get to know a lot of politicians. Lyndon Johnson would take four showers a day and brush his teeth over and over again so he would be in the same room with a bunch of politicians and he could talk to them briefly and make good connections. Lyndon Johnson also hired a man who would later turn corrupt named Bobby Baker who answered phones for the White House cloak room (a cloak room is like the break room for politicians.) With Bobby Baker, Johnson was able to know the inner workings of politics. Ronald Reagan also worked very hard to have good relationships in politics although he talked about Washington as if hed never visited the place.Lyndon Johnson used a specific method t o get to know important people called retail politic. In retail politics, a politician wins over one person at a time by learning about them specifically. Unlike LBJ and Reagan, Jimmy Carter lacked the charsima to win over people. Then Speaker of the House Tip ONeill asked for seats to the inauguration ceremony, Carter offered himseats in the back of the hall this incident hurt his support from the Speaker for many years.The author ends this chapter by explaining that he himself got to his position by networking with many important people.

Cipd Hr

CIPD IN lineEDIATE CERTIFICATE HR centering & DEVELOPMENT HAMMERSMITH CAMPUS Modules Credit Rating Wednesday Evenings (18. 00 21. 00) Sat/ solarize Weekends (09. 30 16. 30) Wednesday Evenings (18. 00 21. 00) Sat/Sun Weekends (09. 30 16. 30) 26/01/13 27/01/13 2012 BIC Business issues and the contexts of compassionate resources 6 26/09/12 03/10/12 10/10/12 17/10/12 24/10/12 half(a) circumstance 13/11/12CIPD matter 14/11/12 21/11/12 28/11/12 05/12/12 12/12/12 CHRISTMAS AND NEW YEAR 09/01/13 16/01/13 23/01/13 30/01/13 06/02/13 13/02/13 HALF TERM 27/02/13 06/03/13 13/03/13 Flexible Study twenty-four hours (10am 8pm) 20/03/13 27/03/13 EASTER weaken 17/04/12 24/04/12 Flexible Study Day (10am 8pm) 01/05/13 22/09/12 23/09/12 09/01/13 16/01/13 23/01/13 30/01/13 06/02/13 13/02/13 HALF TERM 27/02/13 06/03/13 13/03/13 20/03/13 27/03/13 EASTER BREAK 17/04/13 24/04/13 01/05/13 08/05/13 15/05/13 22/05/13 29/05/13 05/06/13 Flexible Study Day (10am 8pm) 12/06/13 19/06/13 26/06/13 03/07/1 1 Flexible Study Day (10am 8pm) 10/07/13 2013 20/10/12 23/02/13 karyon Modules 5DPP exploitation professional practice Using Information in Human Resources Managing and Coordinating the HR Function 4 5IHR 4 13/11/12 CIPD Event 24/11/12 23/03/13 5MHR 6 05/01/13 06/01/13 20/04/13 21/04/13 5ELW Modules Employment equity 6 02/02/13 03/02/13 25/05/13 26/05/13 5HRD Contemporary Developments in HRD 6 3/03/13 24/03/13 22/06/13 23/06/13 Award 3 impute Certificate 32 credits diploma 44 credits CIPD INTERMEDIATE DIPLOMA HR MANAGEMENT HAMMERSMITH CAMPUS Modules Credit Rating Sat/Sun Weekends (09. 30 16. 30) Sat/Sun Weekends (09. 30 16. 30) 2012 HRM Options 5RTP 5IOP Resource and Talent Planning Improving Organisational Performance Employee employ 6 6 27/10/12 28/10/12 24/11/12 25/11/12 26/01/13 27/01/13 2013 04/05/13 05/05/13 08/06/13 09/06/13 06/07/13 07/07/13 5EEG 6 Diploma options 12 credits required from options to a higher place CIPD INTERMEDIATE DIPLOMA HR DEVELOPMENT HAMM ERSMITH CAMPUS Modules Credit Rating Sat/Sun Weekends (09. 30 16. 0) Sat/Sun Weekends (09. 30 16. 30) 2012 5ODS Organisational Design Implications for Human Resources Developing Coaching and Mentoring within Organisations Meeting Organisational Development Needs Organisational Development Implications for Human Resources 27/10/12 3 2013 04/05/13 HRD Options 24/11/12 3 08/06/13 5DCM 25/01/13 3 06/07/13 5MDN 26/01/13 3 07/07/13 5ODV Diploma options 12 credits required from options supra CIPD INTERMEDIATE CERTIFICATE HR MANAGEMENT & DEVELOPMENT SOUTHALL CAMPUS Modules Credit Rating Tuesday Evenings (18. 00 21. 00) Sat/Sun Weekends (09. 30 16. 30) Tuesday Evenings (18. 00 21. 00) Sat/Sun Weekends (09. 30 16. 30) 2012 BIC Business issues and the contexts of human resources 6 25/09/12 02/10/12 09/10/12 16/10/12 23/10/12 HALF TERM 06/11/12 13/11/12 CIPD Event 20/11/12 27/11/12 04/12/12 11/12/12 CHRISTMAS AND NEW YEAR 08/01/13 15/01/13 22/01/13 29/01/13 05/02/13 12/02/13 HALF TERM 2 6/02/13 05/03/13 12/03/13 Flexible Study Day (10am 8pm) 19/03/13 26/03/13 EASTER BREAK 16/04/12 23/04/12 Flexible Study Day (10am 8pm) 30/04/13 22/09/12 23/09/12 08/01/13 15/01/13 22/01/13 29/01/13 05/02/13 12/02/13 HALF TERM 26/02/13 05/03/13 12/03/13 19/03/13 26/03/13 EASTER BREAK 16/04/13 23/04/13 30/04/13 07/05/13 14/05/13 21/05/13 28/05/13 04/06/13 Flexible Study Day (10am 8pm) 11/06/13 18/06/13 25/06/13 02/07/11 Flexible Study Day (10am 8pm) 09/07/13 2013 26/01/13 27/01/13 5DPP Core Modules Developing professional practice Using Information in Human Resources Managing and Coordinating the HR Function 20/10/12 23/02/13 4 5IHR 4 13/11/12 CIPD Event 24/11/12 23/03/13 5MHR 6 05/01/13 06/01/13 20/04/13 21/04/13 5ELW Employment Law 6 02/02/13 03/02/13 25/05/13 26/05/13 Modules 5HRD Contemporary Developments in HRD 6 23/03/13 24/03/13 22/06/13 23/06/13 Award 3 credits Certificate 32 credits Diploma 44 credits CIPD INTERMEDIATE DIPLOMA HR MANAGEMENT SOUTHALL CAMPUS Modules Cre dit Rating Sat/Sun Weekends (09. 30 16. 30) Sat/Sun Weekends (09. 30 16. 30) 2012HRM Options 5RTP 5IOP Resource and Talent Planning Improving Organisational Performance Employee Engagement N/A 6 N/A 6 N/A 6 2013 04/05/13 05/05/13 08/06/13 09/06/13 06/07/13 07/07/13 5EEG Diploma options 12 credits required from options above CIPD INTERMEDIATE DIPLOMA HR DEVELOPMENT SOUTHALL CAMPUS Modules Credit Rating Sat/Sun Weekends (09. 30 16. 30) Sat/Sun Weekends (09. 30 16. 30) 2012 5ODS Organisational Design Implications for Human Resources Developing Coaching and Mentoring within Organisations Meeting Organisational Development Needs Organisational Development Implications for Human Resources N/A 3 2013 04/05/13 HRD Options N/A 3 08/06/13 5DCM N/A 3 06/07/13 5MDN N/A 3 07/07/13 5ODV Diploma options 12 credits required from options above

Constructive Controversy

Constructive controversy is a process through which two individuals or groups of individuals seek to reach an intellect when their ideas, opinions and information are incompatible to those of the other (Johnson, Johnson and Tjosvold, 2006). The process is based on a strong cooperative goal and involves deliberate discourse of the advantages and disadvantages of proposed actions aimed at synthesizing impudent solutions (Johnson, Johnson and Tjosvold, 2006, p. 1). Participants cope structurally in conflict situations by using differences in understanding, emplacement and knowledge as valued resources to find a solution integration the best thoughts that emerge during the process (Deutsch, 2006). In an organizational context, skillful participation in constructive controversy can lead to higher-quality decisions and solutions to complex problems.During the role gambol of the ROC case study in class, some participants reflected that while they felt thrown out of equilibrium initiall y when asked to assume the opposite position, the process opened their minds to revolutionary information and helped them fix in a higher-level cognitive and reasoning process. The value of constructive controversy lies in the thought process it induces when participants adapt to and accommodate the perspective of the other (Johnson, Johnson and Tjosvold, 2006). Individuals are more in all probability to derive conclusions that are enriched by new ideas and information which otherwise may not have been taken into consideration. approach shot together to create a solution in the constructive controversy process also fosters stronger relationships among individuals which is crucial to organizational health. The positive feelings and commitment individuals feel in joint decision-making raises interpersonal attraction and produces greater perceptions of peer task support (Johnson, Johnson and Tjosvold, 2006). Individuals are encouraged to manage conflict constructively when the next problem arises and the effect is likely to be a higher-quality solution, thereby reinforcing interpersonal attraction and commitment in the organization for the long term.In the ROC case study, the Finance team and the sales team will likely need to cooperate in the long term to come up with multiple creative solutions to bring ROC back to the mordant again because sustained profitability cannot be achieved with cost-cutting measures alone or by simply launching a new product. The bedrock of this long-term cooperative travail to revive ROC is a positive relationship between the two teams. However, the constructive controversy process requires dedicated time and resources, which in some situations, may not be the most efficient way of decision-making.In fast-paced, complex and highly dynamic business environments, organizations have to respond swiftly to changing customer demands in order to compete. While the constructive controversy process can generate higher-quality decisions , the timeliness of these decisions is equally crucial. ROC would have suffered a lost opportunity if a contention company had launched a similar product in the time taken for the two teams in ROC to arrive at a decision through the constructive controversy process.Controversies may also increase tensions in a group if participants do not possess the collaborative and conflict management skills necessary to avail a constructive controversy process. According to Johnson, Johnson and Tjosvold (2006), the abilities to disagree with each others ideas while acknowledging one anothers personal competence and engage in perspective-taking behaviors are critical to creating a cooperative context for controversy.A group comprising mainly of individuals with a dominating style of conflict management is likely to experience a competitive controversy process, with each side adhering rigidly to its position and rejecting ideas and information of the opponent. Dominating persons often ignore the needs and expectations of the other caller and may sometimes want to win at any cost (Rahim, 2000). As a result, interpersonal relationships could be strained and more conflicts may arise. References Deutsch, M. (2006) Cooperation and competition. In Deutsch, M. Coleman, P. T. & Marcus, E. (Eds. ) The handbook of conflict resolution surmisal and practice, 2nd edition (pp. 23-42). San Francisco Jossey-Bass. Johnson, D. W. , Johnson, R. T. & Tjosvold, D. (2006) Constructive Controversy The value of intellectual opposition. In Deutsch, M. , Coleman, P. T. & Marcus E. (Eds. ) The handbook of conflict resolution Theory and practice, 2nd edition (pp. 69-91). San Francisco Jossey-Bass. Rahim, M. A. (2000) Managing conflict in organizations, 3rd edition. Westport, CT Greenwood Publishing.

The Twilight Saga 3: Eclipse Chapter 7. REPETITION

I WASNT SURE WHAT THE HELL I WAS DOING HERE Was I trying to stir myself keister into the zombie stupor? Had I turned masochisticdeveloped a taste for torture? I should stand g champion straight floor to La fight d profess I felt much, much healthier ab bulge Jacob This was not a healthy thing to do. yet I continued to drive slowly nap the oergrown lane, twisting through the trees that arched all over me handle a green, living tunnel My manpower were shaking, so I tightened my grip on the steering wheel.I knew that divulge of the reason I did this was the nightmare, at once that I was in truth awake, the nothingness of the dream gnawed on my nerves, a dog worrying a bone. on that point was something to search for. Unattainable and impossible, uncaring and distracted just now he was step forward t present, somew here(predicate). I had to believe that.The new(prenominal) part was the strange sense of repetition Id felt at school today, the coincidence of the date. The t one of component parting that I was starting overperhaps the bureau my first day would perk up gone if Id re totallyy been the most unusual individual in the cafeteria that afternoon.The words ran through my spot, tone slightly, trust I was reading them rather than assaying them spokenIt pass on be as if Id never existed.I was lying to myself by splitting my reason for coming here into ripe devil parts. I didnt want to admit the strongest motivation. Because it was mentally unsound.The truth was that I wanted to hear his voice again, desire I had in the strange delusion Friday night. For that brief moment, when his voice came from some different part of me than my conscious memory, when his voice was perfect and honey smooth rather than the pale echo my memories commonly produced, I was able to remember with come forth pain. It hadnt lasted the pain had caught up with me, as I was undisputable it would for this fools errand. tho those loved moments when I could hear him again were an irresistible lure. I had to give a focussing some way to repeat the realize or maybe the better word was episode.I was hoping that dj vu was the key. So I was passage to his home, a place I hadnt been since my ill-fated birthday party, so many months ago.The thick, almost jungle- give care growth crawled slowly old my windows. The drive wound on and on. I started to go faster, croakting edgy. How yearn had I been driving? Shouldnt I consent reached the house yet? The lane was so overgrown that it did not look familiar.What if I couldnt find it? I shivered. What if in that location was no tangible proof at all?Then there was the go to pieces in the trees that I was looking for, only it was not so pronounced as before. The flora here did not wait abundant to reclaim any land that was left unguarded. The tall ferns had infiltrated the meadow nigh the house, crowding against the trunks of the cedars, even the wide porch. It was homogeneous the lawn had be en flooded cannon-highwith green, feathery waves.And the house was there, precisely it was not the same. though nothing had changed on the eruptside, the emptiness screamed from the blank windows. It was creepy. For the first condemnation since Id correspondn the beautiful house, it looked like a adaption haunt for vampires.I hit the brackens, looking away. I was afraid to go farther.But nothing happened. No voice in my head.So I left the engine streamlet and jumped out into the fern sea. peradventure, like Friday night, if I walked forwardI approached the barren, va potentiometert face slowly, my hand truck rumbling out a comforting ululate behind me. I stopped when I got to the porch stairs, because there was nothing here. No lingering sense of their front of his presence. The house was solidly here, but it soakedt little. Its concrete reality would not counteract the nothingness of the nightmares.I didnt go any closer. I didnt want to look in the windows. I wasnt sure w hich would be harder to see. If the rooms were bare, let out empty from floor to ceiling, that would certainly hurt. Like my grandmothers funeral, when my mother had insisted that I stay outside during the viewing. She had said that I didnt need to see Gran that way, to remember her that way, rather than alive.But wouldnt it be worse if there were no change? If the couches sat unspoilt as Id last seen them, the paintings on the wallsworse facilitate, the piano on its low syllabus? It would be second only to the house disappearing all to dismayher, to see that there was no tangible possession that tied them in anyway. That everything remained, untouched and forgotten, behind them.Just like me.I turned my sticker on the gaping emptiness and hurried to my truck. I almost ran. I was anxious to be gone, to get back to the human world. I felt hideously empty, and I wanted to see Jacob. Maybe I wasdeveloping a new kind of sickness, another addiction, like the numbness before. I didn t care. I pushed my truck as fast as it would go as I barreled toward my fix.Jacob was waiting for me. My chest seeed to unloose as soon as I saw him, making it easier to breathe.Hey, Bella, he discovered.I smiled in relief. Hey, Jacob, I waved at Billy, who was looking out the window.Lets get to work, Jacob said in a low but glowing voice.I was somehow able to trick. You seriously arent sick of me yet? I wondered. He must be starting to ask himself how desperate I was for company.Jacob led the way around the house to his garage.Nope. Not yet. enchant let me slam when I start getting on your nerves. I dont want to be a pain.Okay. He laughed, a throaty sound. I wouldnt hold your breath for that, though.When I walked into the garage, I was shocked to see the red bike standing up, looking like a motorcycle rather than a locoweed of jagged metal.Jake, youre amazing, I breathed.He laughed again. I get obsessive when I have a project. He shrugged. If I had any brains Id drag it out a little bit.Why?He looked down, pausing for so long that I wondered if he hadnt heard my question. Finally, he asked me, Bella, if I told you that I couldnt fix these bikes, what would you say?I didnt event right away, either, and he glanced up to check my expression.I would say thats too bad, but Ill bet we could general anatomy out something else to do. If we got really desperate, we could even do homework.Jacob smiled, and his shoulders relaxed. He sat down next to the bike and picked up a wrench. So you think youll still come over when Im done, then?Is that what you meant? I shook my head. I guess I am taking advantage of your very underpriced mechanical skills. But as long as you let me come over, Ill be here.Hoping to see Quil again? he teased.You caught me.He chuckled. You really like spending time with me? he asked, marveling.Very, very much. And Ill prove it. I have to work tomorrow, but Wednesday well do something nonmechanical.Like what?I have no idea. We bed go to my place so you wont be tempted to be obsessive. You could bring your schoolworkyou have to be getting behind, because I know I am.Homework might be a good idea. He do a face, and I wondered how much he was leaving ruined to be with me.Yes, I agreed. Well have to start cosmos responsible occasionally, or Billy and Charlie arent pass to be so easygoing more or less this. I made a gesture indicating the two of us as a single entity. He liked thathe beamed.Homework once a week? he proposed.Maybe wed better go with twice, I suggested, thinking of the pile Id just been as patsyed today.He sighed a arduous sigh. Then he reached over his toolbox to a paper grocery sack. He pulled out two cans of soda, cracking one open and handing it to me. He opened the second, and held it up ceremoniously.Heres to responsibility, he toasted. Twice a week.And mindlessness every day in between, I emphasized.He grinned and touched his can to mine.I got home ulterior than Id planned and found Charlie had ordered a pizza rather than wait for me. He wouldnt let me apologize.I dont mind, he assured me. You deserve a break from all the cooking, anyway.I knew he was just improve that I was still acting like a normal person, and he was not almost to conte invest the boat.I checked my e-mail before I started on my homework, and there was a long one from Renee. She gushed over every detail Id provided her with, so I sent back another exhaustive exposition of my day. Everything but the motorcycles. Even happy-go-lucky Renee was likely to be alarmed by that.School Tuesday had its ups and downs. Angela and Mike seemed pitch to welcome me back with open armsto kindly overlook my few months of aberrant behavior. Jess was more resistant. I wondered if she unavoidable a formal written apology for the Port Angeles incident.Mike was animated and chatty at work. It was like hed stored up the semesters worth of talk, and it was all spilling out now. I found that I was able to smile and laug h with him, though it wasnt as effortless as it was with Jacob. It seemed harmless enough, until quitting time.Mike put the closed sign in the window while I folded my vest and shoved it under the counter.This was fun tonight, Mike said happily.Yeah, I agreed, though Id much rather have spent the afternoon in the garage.Its too bad that you had to leave the moving picture early last week.I was a little confused by his train of thought. I shrugged. Im just a wimp, I guess.What I mean is, you should go to a better movie, something youd enjoy, he explained.Oh, I muttered, still confused.Like maybe this Friday. With me. We could go see something that isnt scary at all.I bit my oral cavity.I didnt want to screw things up with Mike, not when he was one of the only people ready to forgive me for being batty. But this, again, felt far too familiar. Like the last year had never happened. I wished I had Jess as an excuse this time.Like a date? I asked. Honesty was probably the best insura nce policy at this point. Get it over with.He processed the tone of my voice If you want. But it doesnt have to be like that.I dont date, I said slowly, realizing how true that was. That whole world seemed impossibly distant.Just as friends? he suggested. His clear blue eye were not as eager now. I hoped he really meant that we could be friends anyway.That would be fun. But I actually have plans already this Friday, so maybe next week?What are you doing? he asked, less casually than I think he wanted to sound.Homework. I have a study session planned with a friend.Oh. Okay. Maybe next week.He walked me to my car, less exuberant than before. It reminded me so clearly of my first months in Forks. Id come full circle, and now everything felt like an echoan empty echo, devoid of the interest it used to have.The next night, Charlie didnt seem the smallest bit surprise to find Jacob and me sprawled crosswise the living room floor with our books scattered around us, so I guessed that he and Billy were public lecture behind our backs.Hey, kids, he said, his eyes straying to the kitchen. The smell of the lasagna Id spent the afternoon makingwhile Jacob watched and occasionally sampledwafted down the hall I was being good, trying to atone for all the pizza.Jacob stayed for dinner, and took a plate home for Billy. He grudgingly added another year to my negotiable age for being a good cook.Friday was the garage, and Saturday, after my call down at Newtons, was homework again. Charlie felt secure enough in my sanity to spend the day fishing with Harry. When he got back, we were all donefeeling very sensible and mature about it, tooand watching Monster Garage on the Discovery Channel.I probably ought to go. Jacob sighed. Its later than I thought.Okay, fine, I grumbled. Ill take you home.He laughed at my grudging expressionit seemed to please him.Tomorrow, back to work, I said as soon as we were safe in the truck. What time do you want me to come up? in that respect was a n unexplained excitement in his answering smile. Ill call you first, okay?Sure. I frowned to myself, wondering what was up. His smile widened.I cleaned the house the next morningwaiting for Jacob to call and trying to quaver off the Litest nightmare. The scenery had changed. Last night Id wandered in a wide sea of ferns interspersed with huge poison parsley trees. There was nothing else there, and I was lost, wandering aimless and alone, searching for nothing. I wanted to kick myself for the ill-advised field trip last week. I shoved the dream out of my conscious mind, hoping it would stay locked up somewhere and not escape again.Charlie was outside washing the cruiser, so when the phone rang, I dropped the toilet brush and ran infra to answer it.Hello? I asked breathlessly.Bella, Jacob said, a strange, formal tone to his voice.Hey, Jake.I believe that we have a date he said, his tone thick with implications.It took me a second before I got it. Theyre done? I cant believe it Wha t perfect timing. I needed something to distract me from nightmares and nothingness.Yeah, they run and everything.Jacob, you are absolutely, without a doubt, the most dexterous and wonderful person I know. You get ten years for this one.Cool Im middle-aged now.I laughed. Im on my way upI threw the cleaning supplies under the bathroom counter and grabbed my jacket. Headed to see Jake, Charlie said when I ran past him. It wasnt really a question.Yep, I replied as I jumped in my truck.Ill be at the station later, Charlie called after me.Okay, I yelled back, turning the key.Charlie said something else, but I couldnt hear him clearly over the roar of the engine. It sounded sort of like, Wheres the fire?I parked my truck off to the side of the Blacks house, close to the trees, to exonerate it easier for us to sneak the bikes out. When I got out, a splash of color caught my eyetwo shiny motorcycles, one red, one black, were vague under a spruce, invisible from the house. Jacob was prepa red.There was a piece of blue ribbon tied in a small bow around each of the handlebars. I was laughing at that when Jacob ran out of the house. spry? he asked in a low voice, his eyes sparkling.I glanced over his shoulder, and there was no sign of Billy.Yeah, I said, but I didnt feel quite as excited as before I was trying to imagine myself actually on the motorcycle.Jacob loaded the bikes into the bed of the truck with ease, laying them carefully on their sides so they didnt show.Lets go, he said, his voice higher than usual with excitement. I know the perfect spotno one go forth catch us there.We drove south out of town. The dirt road wove in and out of the forestsometimes there was nothing but trees, and then there would suddenly be a breathtaking glimpse of the Pacific Ocean, reaching to the horizon, fatal gray under the clouds. We were above the shore, on top of the lessenings that bordered the beach here and the view seemed to stretch on forever.I was driving slowly, so th at I could safely stare out across the ocean now and then, as the road wound closer to the sea cliffs. Jacob was talking about finishing the bikes, but his descriptions were getting technical, so I wasnt paying close attention.That was when I noticed 4 figures standing on a rocky ledge, much too close to the precipice. I couldnt tell from the distance how old they were, but I assumed they were men. Despite the chill in the air today, they seemed to be wearable only shorts.As I watched, the tallest person stepped closer to the brink. I slowed automatically, my foot hesitating over the brake pedal.And then he threw himself off the edge.No I shouted, stomping down on the brake.Whats wrong? Jacob shouted back, alarmed.That guyhe just jumped off the cliff Why didnt they stop him? Weve got to call an ambulance I threw open my door and started to get out, which made no sense at all. The fastest way to a phone was to drive back to Billys. But I couldnt believe what Id just seen. Maybe, s ubconsciously, I hoped I would see something different without the glass of the windshield in the way.Jacob laughed, and I spun to stare at him wildly. How could he be so calloused, so cold-blooded?Theyre just cliff diving, Bella. Recreation. La Push doesnt have a mall, you know. He was teasing, but there was a strange circular of irritation in his voice.Cliff diving? I repeated, dazed. I stared in disbelief as a second figure stepped to the edge, paused, and then very gracefully leaped into space. He fell for what seemed like an eternity to me, finally cutting smoothly into the dark gray waves below.Wow. Its so high. I slid back into my seat, still staring blanket(a) at the two remaining divers. It must be a hundred feet.Well, yeah, most of us jump from lower down, that rock that juts out from the cliff about halfway. He pointed out his window. The place he indicated did seem much more reasonable. Those guys are insane.Probably showing off how stout they are. I mean, really, it s freezing today. That piddle cant feel good. He made a disgruntled face, as if the stunt personally offended him. It move me a little. I would have thought Jacob was nearly impossible to upset.You jump off the cliff? I hadnt disoriented the us.Sure, sure. He shrugged and grinned. Its fun. A little scary, kind of a rush.I looked back at the cliffs, where the third gear figure was pacing the edge. Id never witnessed anything so reckless in all my life. My eyes widened, and I smiled. Jake, you have to take me cliff diving.He frowned back at me, his face disapproving. Bella, you just wanted to call an ambulance for surface-to-air missile, he reminded me. I was surprised that he could tell who it was from this distance.I want to try, I insisted, start ing to get out of the car again.Jacob grabbed my wrist. Not today, all right? Can we at least wait for a fastball day?Okay, fine, I agreed. With the door open, the glacial breeze was raising goose bumps on my arm. But I want to go soon .Soon. He rolled his eyes. Sometimes youre a little strange, Bella. Do you know that?I sighed. Yes.And were not jumping off the top.I watched, fascinated, as the third boy made a running start and flung himself farther into the empty air than the other two. He twisted and cartwheeled through space as he fell, like he was skydiving. He looked absolutely freeunthinking and utterly irresponsible.Fine, I agreed. Not the first time, anyway. today Jacob sighed.Are we going to try out the bikes or not? he demanded.Okay, okay, I said, tearing my eyes away from the last person waiting on the cliff. I put my seat belt back on and closed the door. The engine was still running, roaring as it idled. We started down the road again.So who were those guysthe crazy ones? I wondered.He made a disgusted sound in the back of his throat. The La Push gang.You have a gang? I asked. I realized that I sounded impressed.He laughed once at my reaction. Not like that. I swear, theyre like hall monitors gone ba d. They dont start fights, they keep the peace. He snorted. There was this guy from up somewhere by the Makah rez, big guy too, scary-looking. Well, word got around that he was selling meth to kids, and surface-to-air missile Uley and his disciples ran him off our land. Theyre all about our land, and tribe pride its getting ridiculous. The worst part is that the council takes them seriously. Embry said that the council actually meets with Sam. He shook his head, face full of resentment. Embry also heard from Leah Clearwater that they call themselves protectors or something like that.Jacobs hands were clenched into fists, as if hed like to hit something. Id never seen this side of him.I was surprised to hear Sam Uleys name. I didnt want it to bring back the images from my nightmare, so I made a quick observation to distract myself. You dont like them very much.Does it show? he asked sarcastically.Well It doesnt sound like theyre doing anything bad. I tried to soothe him, to make him cheerful again. Just sort of annoyingly goody-two- apparels for a gang.Yeah. concern is a good word. Theyre always showing offlike the cliff thing. They act like like, I dont know. Like tough guys. I was hanging out at the store with Embry and Quil once, last semester, and Sam came by with his followers, Jared and Paul. Quil said something, you know how hes got a big mouth, and it pissed Paul off. His eyes got all dark, and he sort of smiledno, he showed his odontiasis but he didnt smileand it was like he was so mad he was shaking or something. But Sam put his hand against Pauls chest and shook his head. Paul looked at him for a minute and calmed down. Honestly, it was like Sam was holding him backlike Paul was going to tear us up if Sam didnt stop him. He groaned. Like a bad western. You know, Sams a pretty big guy, hes twenty. But Pauls just sixteen, too, shorter than me and not as beefy as Quil. I think any one of us could take him.Tough guys, I agreed. I could see it in my he ad as he described it, and it reminded me of something a trio of tall, dark men standing very still and close together in my fathers living room. The picture was sideways, because my head was lying against the couch while Dr. Gerandy and Charlie leaned over me Had that been Sams gang?I spoke quickly again to frolic myself from the bleak memories. Isnt Sam a little too old for this kind of thing?Yeah. He was suppositious to go to college, but he stayed. And no one gave him any crap about it, either. The whole council pitch a fit when my sister turned down a partial scholarship and got married. But, oh no, Sam Uley can do no wrong.His face was set in unfamiliar lines of outrageoutrage and something else I didnt recognize at first.It all sounds really annoying and strange. But I dont get why youre taking it so personally. I peeked over at his face, hoping I hadnt offended him. He was suddenly calm, staring out the side window.You just missed the turn, he said in an even voice.I exec uted a very wide U-turn, nearly hitting a tree as my circle ran the truck halfway off the road.Thanks for the heads-up, I muttered as I started up the side road.Sorry, I wasnt paying attention.It was quiet for a brief minute.You can stop anywhere along here, he said softly.I pulled over and cut the engine. My ears rang in the serenity that followed. We both(prenominal) got out, and Jacob headed around to the back to get the bikes. I tried to read his expression. Something more was bothering him. Id hit a nerve.He smiled halfheartedly as he pushed the red bike to my side. Happy late birthday. Are you ready forthis?I think so. The bike suddenly looked intimidating, frightening, as I realized I would soon be astride it.Well take it slow, he promised. I gingerly leaned the motorcycle against the trucks fender while he went to get his.JakeI hesitated as he came back around the truck.Yeah?Whats really bothering you? About the Sam thing, I mean? Is there something else? I watched his fac e. He grimaced, but he didnt seem angry. He looked at the dirt and kicked his shoe against the front tire of his bike again and again, like he was keeping time.He sighed. Its just the way they discretion me. It creeps me out. The words started to rush out now. You know, the council is supposed to be made up of equals, but if there was a leader, it would be my dad. Ive never been able to figure out why people treat him the way they do. Why his opinion counts the most. Its got something to do with his father and his fathers father. My great-grandpa, Ephraim Black, was sort of the last chief we had, and they still see to Billy, maybe because of that.But Im just like everyone else. Nobody treats me special until now.That caught me off guard. Sam treats you special?Yeah, he agreed, looking up at me with troubled eyes. He looks at me like hes waiting for something like Im going to join his stupid gang someday. He pays more attention to me than any of the other guys. I nauseate it.You d ont have to join anything. My voice was angry. This was really upsetting Jacob, and that infuriated me. Who did these protectors think they were?Yeah. His foot kept up its rhythm against the tire.What? I could tell there was more.He frowned, his eyebrows pulling up in a way that looked sad and worried rather than angry. Its Embry. Hes been avoiding me lately.The thoughts didnt seem connected, but I wondered if I was to blame for the problems with his friend. Youve been hanging out with me a lot, I reminded him, feeling selfish. Id been monopolizing him.No, thats not it. Its not just meits Quil, too, and everyone. Embry missed a week of school, but he was never home when we tried to see him. And when he came back, he looked he looked freaked out. Terrified. Quil and I both tried to get him to tell us what was wrong, but he wouldnt talk to either one of us.I stared at Jacob, biting my lip anxiouslyhe was really frightened. But he didnt look at me. He watched his own foot kicking the r ubber as if it belonged to someone else. The tempo increased.Then this week, out of nowhere, Embrys hanging out with Sam and the rest of them. He was out on the cliffs today. His voice was low and tense.He finally looked at me. Bella, they bugged him even more than they bother me. He didnt want anything to do with them. And now Embrys following Sam around like hes joined a cult.And thats the way it was with Paul. Just exactly the same. He wasnt friends with Sam at all. Then he stopped coming to school for a few weeks, and, when he came back, suddenly Sam owned him. I dont know what it means. I cant figure it out, and I feel like I have to, because Embrys my friend and Sams looking at me funny . . and He trailed off.Have you talked to Billy about this? I asked. His shame was spreading to me. I had chills running on the back of my neck.Now there was anger on his face. Yes, he snorted. That was helpful.What did he say?Jacobs expression was sarcastic, and when he spoke, his voice mocke d the deep tones of his fathers voice. Its nothing you need to worry about now, Jacob. In a few years, if you dont well, Ill explain later. And then his voice was his own. What am I supposed to get from that? Is he trying to say its some stupid puberty, coming-of-age thing? This is something else. Something wrong.He was biting his lower lip and clenching his hands. He looked like he was about to cry.I threw my arms around him instinctively, wrapping them around his waist and pressing my face against his chest. He was so big, I felt like I was a shaver hugging a grown-up.Oh, Jake, itll be okay I promised. If it gets worse you can come live with me and Charlie. Dont be scared, well think of somethingHe was frozen for a second, and then his long arms wrapped hesitantly around me. Thanks, Bella. His voice was huskier than usual.We stood like that for a moment, and it didnt upset me in fact, I felt comforted by the contact. This didnt feel anything like the last time someone had embrace d me this way. This was friendship. And Jacob was very warm.It was strange for me, being this closeemotionally rather than sensually, though the physical was strange for me, tooto another human being. It wasnt my usual style. I didnt normally relate to people so easily, on such a basic level.Not human beings.If this is how youre going to react, Ill freak out more often. Jacobs voice was light, normal again, and his laughter rumbled against my ear. His fingers touched my hair, soft and tentative.Well, it was friendship for me.I pulled away quickly, laughing with him, but inflexible to put things back in perspective at once.Its hard to believe Im two years old(a) than you, I said, emphasizing the word older. You make me feel like a dwarf. Standing this close to him, I really had to crane my neck to see his face.Youre forgetting Im in my forties, of course.Oh, thats right.He patted my head. Youre like a little doll, he teased. A porcelain doll.I rolled my eyes, taking another step a way. Lets not start with the albino cracks.Seriously, Bella, are you sure youre not? He stretched his russet arm out next to mine. The difference wasnt flattering. Ive never seen anyone paler than you well, except for He broke off, and I looked away, trying to not understand what he had been about to say.So are we going to ride or what?Lets do it, I agreed, more enthusiastic than I would have been half a minute ago. His unfinished sentence reminded me of why I was here.

Leading Through Self Awareness Education Essay

IntroductionHow do great attracters become cognizant of their organisations, themselves and early(a)s?All when move up we were beneath a attention of person at a certain topographic point, this began a relationship of cognizing person and cognizing environment before cognizing ourselves. This lead to a suppose of affairs of cognizing other the great unwashed as told who they are and cognizing things as told what they are. More over it makes us to make love ourselves as told who we are and how should we be.It is in the establishments, schools and tribunals of these formative old ages where we are instituted, educated, prosecuted and judged of what we support be in the universe. This appears to train been created by a stamp of what and how the human species must be from a infinite coevalss before us.In this papers an reply to conk turn out from this stereotypic barrier is sought through admiting my haul of ego and others related to larning penchants.It will be in the same context of spiriting into my wreak of how the construct sens be applied in my sectionalisation.Section AHow do I larn?First and far most I am genuinely matter-of-fact person who cogitates in the attack of making first base at and understand it subsequently. I get bored in pursuit rhetoric manuals, theories and research methodological analysiss. All what I take pursuit in is to cognize what must be d integrity and only(a), how it is done and what application is involve to espouse it done. At thrash I constantly teach my police squad to be custodies on and larn to understand by making things themselvesFocus on attendingI incessantly focus my attending on the state of affairs I am confronting and seek to understand myself and my function in the state of affairs. I tend to look for distinguishable sort assortment and wide of involvement before I settle down to work through something. It seems easy for me to acquire a outcome when I talk and walkthrough a job I deput e it with muckle and state them what I think back of the job.I find it easy for me to suit in a subject even if it is discussed by community I am run intoing for the first clip and in most instances I would set in my sentiment even before I introduce myself. I a re exclusivelyy much dictatorial single and ever present my statements genuinely energetic each(prenominal)y.I expect establish that the fond of showing thoughts orison to much battle as in most instances it either includes or challenges tribe.I have fix though that when taking a diametric frame of attack, listen to more gregarious and chatty lot it feels like thorn to person who thinks more of what is being said.Acquiring of informationIt seems that the first thing that captures my head is what is at bridge make forer and occurrence now, I ever destiny to see than to hear around it. At work when at that bulge out is clocking yieldure of a merchandise I believe in imitating it and see it go oning to acqui re a develop apprehension of the cause. I appear to be truly much reliefable with the existent and practical state of affairs or job because I get the exhilaration to prosecute in it. I hold an sentiment that everything has a point of truth which could be found if much vital force is devoted in it. When running(a) with machines I believe in preciseness that if a machine can bring forth one pricy unit is likely to be accurate systematically.I hold the same survey with nation that they can execute to a changeless and accurate degree disposed that they working with a good calculate rate. This goes for the same with behavoiurs that a good and disciplined behavior is possible for all persons. When required to train members for hapless public presentation and incompatibility, I refer to the bugger off where good was achieved.I have besides found that when listening to grudges in my section, I tend to tend to a fact like when people are stating they working in bad conditions. I would press them to be factual and individualist out a status under which they would non hold taken the occupation if they knew it prior and a status under which they believe that the occupation is non worthy any more.This I have found that it eliminates impossible films and makes everybody to believe existent even with future possibilities. To me it becomes mind bogging to make a hereinafter someplace and still be able to change it even before is being realized. I do believe merely in advanced state of affairss chiefly where the present is discontinued, garbleed or adapted.In one state of affairs I had to brief my squad about a new maestro product homework theoretical account concentrating on three month period where merely care and yearly ply were considered for proviso for doomed of production. This sparked a immense dissatisfaction from the store stewards about the non-consideration of ill leave and other un-avoidable absences including possible work stoppages and de ceases.For me it neer came to be a factor because in world there was no 1 who was ill, there was no 1 who was on work stoppage and there was no assassinated cadaver in the meeting. However in believing it loosely there could be one sick, there could be a work stoppage and there could be somebody dead in the hereafter universe even within the three month period.The larning penchant of other people in the state of affairs forced me to reframe the state of affairs by inquiring the work force to determine the planning theoretical account from the position of our rivals. The theoretical account from the angle of the labor force showed for more willingness to better productiveness byAcknowledging operators who keep a clean attending record for the three monthsTrain and stooge operators on repairing minor dislocations on the machine and pay those who good-by the asDecision devising penchantWhen required to do a determination I tend to follow the nonsubjective logic position with analys is of the cause and military issue of both the job at manus and the solution that is sought. This I have found to be really much inclusive because it looks further than where the rock falls. I prefer to do determination based on what leading aspires to i.e. justness and consistent rule.I am of the position that consistent rule is good for press out offing a section verbalism than puting case in points continuously because it is easy to keep policies by using organisation rule than using case in points. To me repute is build by torso where there is an unfastened door policy for exceeding fortunes than exceeding people.By definition exceeding incident to me are all fortunes beyond a human control where the abilities of a responsible individual fail or disabled in such that they can non move in a demeanor a sensible individual would move. I believe that reasonability is governed by acceptable Torahs, criterions and justifiable Acts of the Apostless. When keeping safety meetings i n my section I would ever show the policy of zero security deposit to insecure patterns.What I have found is that though everybody is capable of following the safety patterns and cognize the effects of insecure patterns, people would nevertheless still dispute the policy of zero tolerance. It appears that other people are of the position that the circumstance and celibacy of the actions of an person are of import.I ever persuade people to look at safety demand from a position of a family unit who have lost a bread-winner through a wish of safety policy and subject by the company. Largely when their relation died through carelessness by other employee but the company condones it by maintaining that employee in its employ. Asking them to conceive of how the policy would look like if that household was asked to compose the safety policy of this company.With that frame of head everybody tends to hold with me that the best manner of maintaining zero tolerance is to follow military manner of subject to everyone who disregards safety patterns.Preferable life styleIt appears that self-generated and flexible working manner entreaties much to me because I take things instantly as they come and in most cases I leave them opened. I like the tentative approached where a infinite to maneuver is large plenty for me to follow things and to accommodate to things. This has helped me to ever look for some thing new on the manner and would in most instances peril new constructs and new people that can be developed.In my section I ever promote people to flux in things before doing serious picks because I believe that experience is an unfastened end teacher. My position is that if have shapeed and experienced many things you probably to win with easy even in really hostile state of affairss.I seems to be challenged by a state of affairs where I am bound by structural dogmas and modus operandi, which need to be adhered to as checklist of activities however I do believe in b road range of cheques and balances to guarantee that ends are achieved.Section BLearning and development program for my sectionAfter deriving apprehension of ego and others larning penchant I am required to use my encyclopedism by planing a acquirement and development program for my section. The program is based onExpectationsThe nucleus of leading map is to develop way and pose for all activities required to make a coveted fate. The fate must be good delineate from the oncoming and as the leader I am required to use the accomplishments of interpersonal acquisition in placing and tackling all the available and different energies in the section.A leader is good advised to hold the position of the fate at all times to be able to move above opportunism. A leader must walk the journey to the fate through planning, taking, forming and commanding.Once at the fate and holding tasted the purity of the fate it would look easy for the leader to work convincingly and indefatigably to acqu ire everyone on wit to work towards the fate. This can trip the passion of drawing and developing the people a leader is working with. A leader must be really much generous with cognition and ever want to portion with the people.Leaderships who spend clip with their people tend to develop good wonts of larning from each character under their leading. This normally makes the leader to be a really strong and able to take with freedom of pinch his people. It appears that of such great incarnation the construction gets formed and strengthens since all the people occupy places where they fits. This leads us to the following degree where acquisition is critical i.e. the construction.Learning the constructionThe first acquisition needed is the acquisition of the construction and how it functions to present the needed consequences. In most instances a construction can be cumbersome particularly when used as a commanding and a superior tool of people nevertheless if good understood it is t he honorable tool to accomplish a intent and making fates. It is of import to avoid the pattern of utilizing the section construction as hierarchy of ranks in order to alter self look in full of all members in the section.Learning takes topographic point easy where people relates structurally because the construction gives a good counsel of what must be learned and how the work is inter-linked between people. This seems to be helpful in presenting the different functions each person in the section plays. Since larning will affect larning penchants of ego and others, it is hence advisable to link up to one another with the outlooks of different characters that fit the different functionsSharing is about playing a stellar(prenominal) function and pass oning with others in the section. As leader will be required to run into and portion with the people in the section and such meeting must help in steering the section to run into its outlooks. My function as leader in the meeting wil l be to portion invaluable information of the concern, schemes and demands.Progress study and update meetings where different functions take part in presenting and sharing their studies in their several capacities. This meeting could be a critical tool for a leader to pull larning curves and experience from the from the section members. This could besides assist to maintain all members posted about developments in the organisation and learn from one another within the sectionAs leader I must be wakeful of non going a commanding officer in head by strong-arming squad members but to alter all stakeholders play their meaningful functions in the meetings. It looks likes when people follow on free will they work hard than people who are coerced in following the way of the leading. The chief occupation of a leader in meeting is to steer, inform, warn and urge members to draw together.A function is ever associated with a individual or people, and so when playing my function as leader it would supply a manner of larning about the acquisition penchants of the other people in the section. Another country of acquisition is larning the best manner of pass oning to the members in the squadDepending on the acquisition preferences most people respond otherwise in one signifier of communicating and hence as leader will necessitate to larn a various(a) signifier of communicating. Another point to bear in head is that information can be really much unsafe to other people depending how it is communicated. A leader must guarantee understand people good in the section as others are unable to manage sensitive information thereof a great attention and diligence is required when communication.HarmonyHarmony emanates from credence of other people with their penchants and character which when achieved it enables the squad to work like a well oiled machine. It is a good known fact that the people we know and meet with everyday now were one time aliens when we met them for the first clip. Meeting people for the first clip generates perceptual experiences that can either be cemented or alteration at ulterior phases when a individual is good known or understood.Percepts are believed to be developed from our old acquisition and experiences and they unremarkably form the first feeling of our new experiences. Arguably in general life most people attest to the fact that perceptual experience and feeling about other people tend to alter or confirmed at after disbursement clip and larning a batch about them.It is really much of import to command perceptual experience and feelings because though they are non enemies of harmoniousness but they can develop the worst enemy of harmoniousness which is stereotype. Stereotypic thought will ensue to the malfunctioning of the squad because the people keeping such a position will be a job in working with othersHarnessing the alone and different energies becomes hard if the leader or other members hold a pigeonhole position tow ards others. This is where interpersonal acquisition get downing from the leader becomes critical to spread this clip flush it of stereotype in organisation. I believe that the best manner of get the better ofing stereotype in the section is to use oneself more on reframing state of affairs because it ever gives you the position of the intent of your being. classify appears to be encouraged by a comfort zone, success of the yesteryear, personal beliefs and conservative thoughts of the good yesteryear. To me it all appears to be a complacence and failure to research oneself, others and the environment more. To get the better of stereotype and comfort zone leaders need to be ever advanced and be ready to venture out of their conform thoughts.Success should be used to dispute one ego and others to continuously excite the competitory thoughts of taking the organisation farther. One of the greatest tools in disputing stereotype is utilizing success as a acquisition where the behavoiurs and larning thoughts of successful people is studied, challenged or adopted.When stereotype is overcome the squad can be able to play to strength by using all the energies and tackle them to the strength of the section. great coherency will enable all squad members to enthusiastically lend positively to the success of the concern. This will amount to ownership and haughtiness from squad members.Acknowledgment, Reflection and struggle directionPeoples like recognition and experience ignored if feed dorsum is non granted after they have done something. Acknowledgement and feed back promote more acquisition and place spreads needed to be closed in acquisition. It helps people to reflect on what they have done and look for more room of betterment.It will be of import besides to let people to give food back on leading to assist stretching the leader in suiting all the different acquisition penchants in the squad. A leader who is good capacitated in different countries of acquisition will be able to manage and pull off struggle in the squad without destructing the spirit of the squad but by capturing all the differences into a unit.DecisionGreat leading is the art that stems from the roots of acquisition and understanding ego consciousness.Great leaders have learned about themselves, about others and about their environment.

Economic Order Quantity and Significant Predictor.

1. Stock prices over a period of fifty (50) years would roughly(prenominal) apt(predicate) exhibit no cyclical component. a. True b. sour 2. On the plot labeled a, which of the following is correct? a. There is a trend present. b. There is a analog relationship. c. There is an open outlier. d. There is a negative relationship. 3. On the plot labeled b, there is an outlier present. a. True b. False 4. On the plot labeled c, which of the following prototypes is most appropriate? a. single-parameter exponential smoothing b. reverse c. regression with seasonality (classical time-series) . no(prenominal) of the above argon appropriate 5. In a simple linear regression, we are exploitation monthly advertising expenditures (in $000) to auspicate monthly profits (in $000). If the least squares equation is y = 21. 5 . 1x and the coefficient of decision is . 49, the coefficient of correlation coefficient = ______. a. 0. 70 b. -0. 70 c. unable to be determined from the data. 6. In a simple linear regression, we are exploitation monthly advertising expenditures (in $000) to predict monthly profits (in $000). If the least squares equation is y = 21. 5 . x and the coefficient of determination is . 49. The predicted profit = __________ when advertising expenses are $0. a. 21. 5 b. -0. 1 c. $21,500 d. none of the above. 7. If the correlation coefficient is zero, there is no relationship between x and y. a. True b. False 8. Kelvin Shoe Stores carries a radical black dress shoe for men that sells at a rate of 500 distributively quarter. Their stream policy is to localise 500 per quarter, with a fixed address of $30/order. The annual reading cost is 20% of the cost of items held. The following cost structure is applicable Order Quantity value/ straddle 0-99 $36 100-199 32 200-299 30 300+ 28 For a price of $36, the optimal order sum of money is a. 129 b. infeasible for this cost structure. c. neither of the above. d. both a and b. 9. Kelvin Shoe Stores carries a rudimentary black dress shoe for men that sells at a rate of 500 each quarter.Their current policy is to order 500 per quarter, with a fixed cost of $30/order. The annual holding cost is 20% of the cost of items held. The following cost structure is applicable Order Quantity Price/pair 0-99 $36 100-199 32 200-299 30 300+ 28 The optimal order quantity is a. 129 b. 141 c. 146 d. 300 10. treasure Inc. arries special holiday items, including Happy Angels (HAs). During the season, the demand for HAs is approximately unremarkably distributed, with a mean of 320 and a modular deviation of 30. It costs Foster $5. 00 for each HA unless he orders at least 400, at which the price drops to $4. 50/HA. The HAs retail price is $10. Unsold items will be given to a local hospital, with a disposal cost of $0. 05/HA. Mr. Foster estimates that the goodwill cost of each item short is close to $0. 25. a. This is a single-period inventory problem. b. This is an EOQ problem. c. This is a periodic-review problem. d. None of the above 11.Foster Inc. carries special holiday items, including Happy Angels (HAs). During the season, the demand for HAs is approximately normally distributed, with a mean of 320 and a standard deviation of 30. It costs Foster $5. 00 for each HA unless he orders at least 400, at which the price drops to $4. 50/HA. The HAs retail price is $10. Unsold items will be given to a local hospital, with a disposal cost of $0. 05/HA. Mr. Foster estimates that the goodwill cost of each item short is close to $0. 25. A Christmas-tree form is appropriate. a. True b. False 12. A regular EOQ imitate is appropriate when demand is seasonal. a. True . False 13. See the attached Regression Data I. We are using the crook of radios, TVs, and DVD players stocked to predict the profit, revenue, and cost for future periods. First, run a model to predict the profit. Select all which apply. a. Radios is a significant predictor. b. TVs is a significant predictor. c. DVDs is a significant predictor. d. The overall model is significant. e. The intercept is positive. f. Severe multicollinearity is present. 14. See the attached Regression Data I. We are using the number of radios, TVs, and DVD players stocked to predict the profit, revenue, and cost for future periods.Next, run a model to predict the cost. Select all which apply. a. Radios is a significant predictor. b. TVs is a significant predictor. c. DVDs is a significant predictor. d. The overall model is significant. e. The intercept is positive. f. Severe multicollinearity is present. 15. See the attached Regression Data I. We are using the number of radios, TVs, and DVD players stocked to predict the profit, revenue, and cost for future periods. Based on the output, which of the following recommendations would be most appropriate? a. We should stock more radios. b.We should stock fewer TVs. c. We should increase floor space, since it is probably constraining our gross revenue ability. d. W e should consider the time period. 16. What is the best answer given this information? (3) molding 1 Model 2 Model 3 X-variables 6 4 3 R2 . 9344 . 8857 . 761 Adjusted R2 . 9058 . 8372 . 8497 MSE 5667. 53 6044. 05 5844. 78 a. Model 1 performs the best in all areas. b. Model 2 performs better than Model 3. c. We would most likely elect Model 1. d. We would most likely prefer Model 2. e. We would most likely prefer Model 3. 17. The plug-in below features three promise models practice sessiond on the same set of data. Select all that apply. Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Type Single-parameter Exponential 2-parameter Exponential smoothing 3-parameter Exponential smoothing smoothing MSE 8755. 3 4876. 2 5945. 8 a. There is likely a strong seasonal component present. b. There is likely a trend present. c. There is no random component present. d.There is a cyclical component present. e. A different smoothing constant could affect the MSE for Model 1. 18. If we increase the order (s etup) cost, the order quantity will _____________ if we hold all other costs constant. a. increase b. decrease c. remain the same as long as there is no shortage cost d. become unstable 19. If demand is normally distributed, a. a basic EOQ is appropriate. b. a single-period model could not be appropriate. c. we should produce to fill demand, rather than filling it through orders. d. none of the above would be true. 20. Which of the following methods may be used to determine future order quantities? . anticipate b. regression c. inventory models d. all of the above 21. Refer to the inventory output for Betsys Blue lens hood Bakery. Here, Betsy is trying to determine the optimal order policy for birthday kits. What is the safety stock? 114____________ 22. Refer to 21. What is Betsys service level if she uses this policy? 87%________________ 23. Refer to 21. If Betsy changes to a lost sales model, the order quantity would be expected to increase. a. True b. False c. It depends on the cost associated with a lost sale. 24. Refer to the pointing output for Betsys. This model is appropriate for the type of data. . True b. False 25. Refer to 24. Look at the forecast errors. Which of the following best describes the situation? a. The errors are apocalyptical of what we like to see. b. The errors are randomly distributed. c. The errors are indicative of a problem with the model. d. The errors are indicative of a poor choice of ?. 26. Refer to 24. What recommendation would you rent? a. We should use the model as is. b. We should alter model parameters to improve the fit? c. We should use the model, but use extreme caution in doing so. d. We should eliminate some time periods for forecasting. Regression Data I meshwork Revenue Radios TVs DVDs Quarter Errors 6318. 96 8395. 1 36 65 48 4721. 57 6300. 28 26 48 39 5049. 16 6747. 5 33 51 40 2000 3 32 5249. 44 7028. 6 29 53 45 4 46 5290. 08 7116. 1 32 52 49 2001 1 19 5924. 41 7951. 0 41 58 52 2 23 5251. 97 7031. 09 36 52 44 3 34 4805. 72 6462. 8 31 47 44 4 49 5278. 60 7162. 2 46 49 51 2002 1 22 5301. 77 7136. 5 43 51 46 2 20 6121. 98 8249. 4 45 59 56 3 31 5416. 63 7244. 79 29 55 46 4 51 6552. 89 8718. 1 43 67 48 2003 1 16 6352. 93 8494. 2 46 63 51 2 26 6693. 01 8881. 5 55 68 43 3 37 5761. 97 7669. 0 48 58 39 4 48 5419. 50 7265. 38 33 54 47 2004 -1 22 5474. 64 7302. 7 35 55 44 2 24 4650. 87 6335. 9 41 42 49 4781. 91 6438. 3 48 45 39 MULTI-PERIOD EOQ MODEL (Backordering) NORMAL LEAD-TIME DEMAND PROBLEM Betsys Blue Bonnet Bakery Parameter Values smashed of Demand Distribution mu = 1,000 Stand. Deviation of Demand Distribution sigma = 100 Fixed Cost per Order k = 5,000 Annual Demand Rate A = 52,000 Unit Cost of Procuring an Item c 42. 00 = Annual retentivity Cost per Dollar Value h = 0. 20 Shortage Cost per Unit pS = 10. 0 Optimal Values Optimal Order Quantity Q* = 7,919 Optimal Reor der Point r* = 1,114 pass judgment Demand mu = 1,000 Total Expected Cost TEC(Q*) = $ 67,471. 4 Expected Shortages B(r*) = 6. 47 Probability of Shortage PDr* 0. 13 = Betsys Blue Bonnet Bakery ? = 0. 3 ? = 0. 5 ? = 0. Actual Trend Slope seasonal Forecast Error Quarter t Sales, Yt Tt bt St Ft 2003 W 1 36,500 1988 S 2 43,750 36,500. 00 7,250. 00 1. 20 1988 S 3 59,920 48,601. 00 9,675. 50 1. 23 1988 F 4 87,440 67,025. 55 14,050. 03 1. 0 2004 W 5 102,240 87,424. 90 17,224. 69 1. 17 1988 S 6 123,420 104,144. 98 16,972. 38 1. 19 125,436. 15 (2,016. 15) 1988 S 7 139,610 118,753. 37 15,790. 39 1. 19 149,325. 16 (9,715. 16) 1988 F 8 135,380 125,312. 56 11,174. 79 1. 13 175,522. 72 (40,142. 72) 2005 W 9 129,470 128,753. 89 7,308. 06 1. 04 159,616. 61 (30,146. 1) 1988 S 10 137,570 129,989. 43 4,271. 80 1. 08 161,612. 88 (24,042. 88) 1988 S 11 156,630 133,566. 44 3,924. 41 1. 18 159, 379. 23 (2,749. 23) 1988 F 12 150,980 136,498. 26 3,428. 11 1. 11 154,702. 82 (3,722. 82) 2006 W 13 143,340 139,362. 57 3,146. 21 1. 03 145,291. 38 (1,951. 38) 1988 S 14 153,360 142,190. 68 2,987. 16 1. 08 154,509. 63 (1,149. 3) 1988 S 15 169,730 144,939. 30 2,867. 89 1. 17 170,664. 76 (934. 76) 1988 F 16 161,990 147,249. 54 2,589. 07 1. 10 164,053. 12 (2,063. 12) 2007 W 17 154,760 149,940. 86 2,640. 19 1. 03 154,408. 75 351. 25 1988 S 18 164,780 152,592. 38 2,645. 85 1. 08 164,739. 26 40. 74 1988 S 19 186,730 156,466. 79 3,260. 13 1. 19 181,930. 65 4,799. 5 1988 F 20 177,880 160,230. 59 3,511. 97 1. 11 176,029. 75 1,850. 25 2008 W 21 170,360 164,152. 06 3,716. 72 1. 04 168,951. 59 1,408. 41 1988 S 22 178,830 167,190. 82 3,377. 74 1. 07 181,270. 26 (2,440. 26) 1988 S 23 195,550 168,732. 72 2,459. 82 1. 16 202,826. 81 (7,276. 81) 1988 F 24 187,220 170,501. 72 2,114. 41 1. 10 189,772. 64 (2,552. 4) 2009 W 25 163,230 168,070. 53 (158. 39) 0. 98 178,936. 82 (15,706. 82) 1988 S 26 162,890 163,137. 87 (2,545. 53) 1. 01 179,944. 64 (17,054. 64) 1988 S 27 174,540 157,361. 67 (4,160. 86) 1. 12 187,085. 45 (12,545. 45) 1988 F 28 163,130 151,724. 53 (4,899. 00) 1. 08 168,543. 79 (5,413. 79) 2010 W 29 144,517. 6 1988 S 30 143,788. 09 1988 S 31 153,515. 48 1988 F 32 142,720. 95 MSE = 175,943,211